What is Your Investment
Personality Type?
By Katherine
L. Moss
Emotions play a significant
role in investment decisions, sometimes causing people
either to fear losing money, to buy into a “hot” stock,
or to feel buyer’s remorse. From the seventeenth-century
Dutch tulip mania to dot-coms in the twentieth century,
investors have been unable to separate themselves from
their emotions.
Acting without emotion is
extremely difficult when making investment decisions.
Therefore, it is helpful to recognize one’s emotions surrounding
investing and take them into account.
Behavioral psychologists
Daniel Kahnemann and Amos Tversky began studying behavioral
finance in 1979. They introduced the “Prospect Theory,”
which studies how people manage risk and uncertainty. [i] Their
research indicated individuals are more worried about
losses than they are happy about equivalent gains.
For example, when investors
were given a hypothetical $1,000 to invest, they were
more likely to accept a sure investment gain of $500 than
a 50% chance of gaining either $1,000 or nothing. However,
the opposite was true with possible losses. When given
a hypothetical $2,000, most investors chose not to accept
a sure loss of $500 on the investment, opting to take
a 50% chance of either losing $1,000 or losing nothing.
The ongoing study of behavioral
finance has uncovered common investor characteristics,
which can help determine your investment personality and
help you understand the investment decisions you make.
Herd Mentality.
Some investors figure if everyone is buying a particular
stock, it’s got to be a good, safe investment. But when
they go with the flow, investors do not take the time
to adequately research a particular investment. Therefore,
they are not making an informed decision. People do not
want to regret making a bad decision, but herd mentality
allows them the comfort of knowing they aren’t alone in
their decision.
Overconfidence.
Investors tend to be overconfident or self-assured in
their abilities. According to John Nofsinger, author of
The Psychology of Investing, overconfidence stems
from two things:
Overconfidence can influence
investors to trade too frequently and hold onto riskier
investments too long. In fact, University of California
at Berkeley finance professor Terrance Odean studied 10,000
brokerage accounts during a six-year period, and concluded
that in a portfolio of winners and losers, individual
investors were twice as likely to sell the winners as
opposed to the losers. [ii]
First
Impressions. People equate investing with their
first investing experience. If they choose a winning investment
the first time they invest, they perceive investing as
less risky. Investors tend to use past investment outcomes
to evaluate a current situation. Perhaps this is the reason
for the disclaimer: “Past performance is not indicative
of future results. Your investments may earn more or less.”
Risk Aversion. Investors
will most often choose a sure thing over another choice
that has a potentially higher return, but involves more
risk. People are generally risk-averse; they seek actions
that inspire pride and avoid actions that create regret.
Pride is the pleasure investors experience when investments
perform well. Regret is the pain investors feel when investments
perform poorly, causing them to second-guess their decisions.
The feelings of pride and regret will cause investors
to sell good investments too soon and hold onto bad investments
too long. When this happens, investors will pay more capital
gains taxes and earn a lower return.
Out
of Context.People react to information based on how
it is received, and will only see the “frame of reference”
rather than the big picture. So, if an investor looks
at a mutual fund’s performance over a one-year period
rather than over the life of the fund, the information
could be taken out of context. That one-year period could
represent the one down (below market) year the particular
fund experienced, when historical information shows the
fund outperformed the market in other years.
Investors
want to make the right decision about their investments.
Unfortunately, emotions have a tendency to affect behavior.
Finding clarity around your emotions and how they affect
your investment decisions is critical. The end result
of any planning process depends entirely on the level
of clarity attained at the beginning. In order to make
the best investment decisions, investors should work with
a financial professional to become aware of their investing
behaviors and try to manage them.
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[i] Daniel
Kahneman and Amos Tversky, “Prospect Theory: An Analysis
of Decision Making Under Risk,” Econometrica, 1979,
as cited in “Psychology & Behavioral Finance,” http://www.investorhome.com/psych.htm.
[ii] Terrance
Odean and Brad Barber, “Are Individual Investors Tax Savvy?
Evidence from Retail and Discount Brokerage Accounts,”
Journal of Public Economics, 2003, Vol. 88, 419-442